Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.219186 0.249188 0.281344 0.318317 0.359603 0.404230 0.456064
2025-11-02 0.181758 0.222418 0.268859 0.325636 0.392972 0.470067 0.564795
2025-11-09 0.150415 0.196335 0.251771 0.323213 0.412385 0.519524 0.657451
2025-11-16 0.127453 0.176307 0.238278 0.321949 0.431158 0.567957 0.751244
2025-11-23 0.109446 0.159673 0.226322 0.320170 0.447648 0.613331 0.843237
2025-11-30 0.098082 0.150134 0.222055 0.327181 0.475092 0.673633 0.957647
2025-12-07 0.086595 0.138761 0.213657 0.327047 0.491909 0.719913 1.055338
2025-12-14 0.077047 0.128916 0.206113 0.326880 0.507879 0.765167 1.153479
2025-12-21 0.069146 0.120537 0.199666 0.327313 0.524104 0.811030 1.254381
2025-12-28 0.063499 0.115002 0.196841 0.332643 0.547491 0.868062 1.374060
2026-01-04 0.059202 0.111140 0.196140 0.340946 0.575584 0.933199 1.508788
2026-01-11 0.054328 0.105700 0.192265 0.343605 0.594642 0.985253 1.625959
2026-01-18 0.050662 0.102126 0.191386 0.351460 0.623132 1.054443 1.774996
2026-01-25 0.047650 0.099394 0.191658 0.361185 0.655212 1.130973 1.939600
2026-02-01 0.043205 0.093438 0.185658 0.359465 0.667811 1.176668 2.057079
2026-02-08 0.039378 0.088215 0.180445 0.358588 0.681562 1.224688 2.180447
2026-02-15 0.035866 0.083193 0.175093 0.356908 0.693575 1.270148 2.301490
2026-02-22 0.033858 0.081036 0.174958 0.364794 0.722967 1.346340 2.477572
2026-03-01 0.031145 0.077046 0.170850 0.364732 0.737737 1.397850 2.613696
2026-03-08 0.028692 0.073324 0.166906 0.364594 0.752192 1.449298 2.751821
2026-03-15 0.026534 0.070003 0.163457 0.365097 0.767739 1.503242 2.896533
2026-03-22 0.025052 0.068074 0.162734 0.370991 0.793872 1.577381 3.080304
2026-03-29 0.023955 0.066939 0.163594 0.380156 0.826835 1.665429 3.292806